In Quidditch, catching the snitch is worth 150 points and almost always ends the match.
In the NBA Playoffs, the first team to one hundred almost always wins.
Updated through —. The 2026 postseason is ongoing; figures will revise as games are played.
of NBA playoff games from 2015 onward in which a team reached 100 points first — that team went on to win.
782 wins 80 losses 117 games never hit 100
We call the moment a team crosses one hundred the catching of the snitch. It is, statistically, the most reliable in-game omen in basketball.
Is the Lead Safe?
Catching the snitch is only half the omen — the rest is on the clock. Set the moment a team crosses one hundred and read the odds, drawn from — playoff snitches since 2015.
Hit 100 up 10 with 6:00 left.
Historically — across — comparable spots.
—
The safe line — lead at least 1.5 points for every minute left, plus eight — has held — times without a single loss. —
The Safe-Lead Map
Every snitch since 2015, sorted by the time left when it was caught (down the side) against the size of the lead (across the top). Green held; red still bit. The same fifteen-point cushion is a coin flip with twelve minutes to go and a vault with three.
Win rate:dangercertaingames shown in parentheses
By Round
As the stakes climb the snitch becomes a less reliable narrator. In the First Round it predicts — of winners. In the Conference Finals only —.
The Ledger of Teams
Click any column heading to re-rank.
| Team | GP | W | Snitch ✦ | Converted | Conv % | Snitched On | Comebacks |
|---|
When the Snitch Lied
— games where a team crossed one hundred first — and still lost. The exceptions that test the rule. The receipts of each betrayal follow.
The Whole Record
Every completed playoff game from the past two postseasons, with the very play where the snitch was caught.